A Simulation Available
I've commented in earlier postings on being skeptical of natural
selection as the driving force of evolution. Nick Bucska, who specializes in
simulations, has sent me a program he's developed, which among other things
— NS tends to maintain the status quo and eliminate
— Since NS is a statistical process, it is a mistake
to assume that it has to work with a small population e.g. mutations
— The popular scientific literature
implicitly assumes that NS always works, ideally and fast. Actually, unless
the population is built up by random effects, mutation is eliminated. For
example, if a bug lays 100 eggs, a mutation with 1% higher survival probability
is eliminated with 99.999 % probability.
— Even in the case of relative large increase of the
survival probability due to a mutation, the NS works erratically, with low
probability. This causes the evolution to work in bursts.
— If the population is constant, the evolution stops.
Nick tells me that such results have been well known since
before1979, but they are played down because they make it difficult to imagine
how evolution according to the orthodox teaching could happen.
Those interested in further information, or who perhaps would
like a copy of the program to experiment with, are welcome to contact Nick Bucska
directly at NBucska@PCPeripherals.com